Fed dwara July mein byaj dar mein kami ki sambhavana badh gayi hai kyonki mahngai mein kami a rahi hai. CME FedWatch ke anusaar, 25 basis points ki dar katai ki sambhavana 65 pratishat se adhik ho gayi hai. Yeh apeksha parivartan core PCE ke teen maheene lagatar 2.5 pratishat se neeche rahne ke kaaran hua hai.
Dollar Index 104 ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo teen maheene ka sabase neecha star hai. Euro 1.09 se oopar majboot hua hai, jabki GBP/USD 1.28 ke paar ho gaya hai. Gair-Dollar mudraein saamoohik roop se majboot hoon.
Vyapaariyon ko ummeed hai ki yadi Fed July mein dar katai karta hai to dollar 102-103 tak gira sakta hai. Lekin kuch vishleshakon ka maanana hai ki US seva kshetra ki majbooti dar katai mein der kar sakti hai.
Takaniki drishtikon se, dollar index ko 103.50 ke paas majboot samarthan hai. Yadi yeh star tootata hai to girav tez ho sakta hai. EUR/USD ka agli resistance 1.1050 par hai 1.09 se oopar bane rahne ke baad.
Forex vyapaariyon ke liye, vartaman vatavaran dono avsar aur chunautiyaan pradaan karta hai. Kamzor dollar gair-dollar mudrae kharidne ke avsar pradaan karta hai, lekin kendriya bankon ke beech neeti bhed ka matlab badhti hui asthirta hai.
Vastu mudrae China ki madhyam arthik sudhaar se laabh utha rahi hain. AUD/USD 0.67 se oopar chadh gaya hai, jabki CAD oopar tel ke dam se samarthit hai.
Aage dekhte hue, Fed dar katai ki gati 2026 ke antarddh mein forex bazaaron ka mukhya vishay hogi.