New Zealand ke kendriya bank (RBNZ) ne May ki baithak mein bazar ko chuka diya jab usne Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 2.25% par sthir rakha, lekin matdan 3-3 raha, jisse antim nirnaya Governor ke paas gaya. Yeh moneetari neeti ki disha par samiti mein bade matbhed ko darshata hai.
Bazar ko chukane wali baat daron ko sthir rakhne ka nirnaya nahi tha, balki RBNZ ka kathor bayan tha jisme kaha gaya ki “daron ko ummeed se adhik tezi se aur adhik badhane ki avashyakta ho sakti hai”. Is bar ka bayan pichle sabhi bayanon se adhik majboot tha, jisse bazar ne July ki baithak mein dar vriddhi ki sambhavna ko 73% tak badh diya.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) baithak ke pareenam ki ghoshna ke turant baad majboot hua, jabki AUD/NZD 2022 ke baad se sabase badi giravat darj ki gayi, jo Australia aur New Zealand ke beech moneetari neeti ki ummeedon mein badlav ko darshata hai.
RBNZ aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke beech neetigat antar AUD/NZD ko chalane wala pramukh karyak ban raha hai. Jahan RBNZ spashth Hawkish sanket de raha hai, vahin RBA adhik udar rukh apna raha hai, jisne hal ki baithak mein daron ko 4.35% tak badh diya lekin ek sadasy ne virodh kiya aur vriddhi rokne ki sambhavna jatayi.
RBNZ ko sakht sanket dene ka mukhya karan gaharelu mudrasphiti dabav hai jo abhi bhi uchch hai, visheshakar sewaon, kiraye aur shram lagat mein vriddhi. Arthvyavastha abhi bhi kam berojgari dar aur majboot upbhokta kharch ke sath majbooti dikha rahi hai. Isse RBNZ ko atmavishwas milta hai ki vah arthik vikas ko bahut adhik prabhavit kiye bina daron mein vriddhi kar sakta hai.
Videshi mudra vyapariyon ke liye, RBNZ ki yeh baithak ek anusmarak hai ki kendriya bank ki moneetari neeti mein badlav mein videshi mudra bazaaron ko chalane ki jabardast shakti hai. AUD/NZD jaisa cross pair do kendriya bankon ke beech neetigat antar ke prati sanshitrahota hai.
Alpkal mein, NZD mein kam se kam July ki baithak tak majboot bane rahne ki sambhavna hai. New Zealand ka mudrasphiti aur rozgar data dhar ki disha nirdharit karne mein mahatvapurn bhoomika nibhayega.